40+ % price increases on metals is certainly not normal. Check out this video Alex did last week highlighting the factors that got us into the high 5.50s:
https://youtube.com/shorts/Rvmyv62LZbA?si=YaYTmYqRkYMLrsnO
Why now are we already trending toward $6–just one week later? Beyond the dollar weakening to under $7 yuan (1/5 6.99), the weakness anticipated by a more sympathetic Fed in 2026 and the continual tariff uncertainty we are seeing some real supply concerns developing. According to this article from Invezz, you can now add a strike in Chile to all of the other supply chain concerns that investors are reacting to.
So, while our original 2026 metal price outlook is already outdated on the copper side, we did believe the fundamentals behind copper were more solid than aluminum and nickel (the element in stainless steel). Today both aluminum and nickel are also trending up. 2026 was deemed a weak year for stainless steel pricing, and a positive first half of the year for aluminum and uncertain second half.
We will see what pans out for the year, but we had to highlight a great day on the first working day for our crew in 2026!


